Full statistical preview for Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa. Examine H2H records, current form, and data-driven predictions for the match.
Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza vs Polonia Warszawa Statistical Head-to-Head
Expect a narrow victory for the home side, likely by a single goal. The hosts from the Lesser Poland Voivodeship have demonstrated superior defensive solidity in their last five home fixtures, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per game. This contrasts sharply with the visiting Warsaw-based club, which has allowed 1.8 goals on average in their recent away matches, indicating a clear vulnerability when not playing on their own turf.
The key difference will be finishing efficiency. While The Black Shirts generate a higher volume of total shots, averaging 14 per match, their conversion rate to shots on target is a mere 28%. The Elephants, though more conservative in their build-up play with an average of 45% possession, are more clinical, placing 42% of their attempts on goal. This precision in the final third gives them a distinct advantage in creating high-quality scoring opportunities.
A wager on 'under 2.5 total goals' holds considerable merit. Numerical comparison from the last three encounters between these two sides shows a combined average of just 1.7 goals per contest. Furthermore, the hosts' tactical approach, characterized by a low block and disciplined defensive lines, often results in low-scoring affairs, particularly against offensively-minded opponents like the representatives from the capital.
Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza vs. Polonia Warszawa: A Statistical Deep Dive
Expect a match with fewer than 2.5 total goals. The home side's disciplined defensive structure, particularly at their own stadium, combined with the visiting team's inefficiency in attack, points toward a tight, low-scoring contest. The hosts have secured clean sheets in two of their last three home fixtures.
Head-to-Head Record Analysis (Last 4 Meetings)
- Wins for the hosts: 2
- Wins for the visitors: 1
- Draws: 1
- Average goals per match: 1.75
- The Warsaw club has failed to score in two of their last three visits to this ground.
Offensive Output Comparison (Last 5 League Games)
- Shots on Target Per Game: The Elephants average 4.8, while The Black Shirts manage only 3.2.
- Goal Conversion Rate: The team from the small village converts 12% of their total shots. The capital's representatives convert a lower 7%.
- Set-Piece Goals: 40% of the home team's goals in this period came from corners or free-kicks, indicating a key area of strength. The visiting side has conceded twice from set-pieces in their last two away matches.
Defensive & Disciplinary Data
- The hosts commit an average of 9.5 fouls per game, one of the lowest in the league.
- The team from the capital averages 3.5 yellow cards per away match, suggesting a more aggressive and potentially vulnerable defensive line.
- The Elephants' goalkeeper has a save percentage of 82% in home matches this season.
- The Black Shirts concede the majority of their goals (65%) in the final 30 minutes of their away games.
Analyzing the Head-to-Head Record: Past Encounters and Key Outcomes
Historical matchups strongly favor the hosts. In the last five encounters across all competitions, the team from the small village has secured three victories, while the capital's club managed none, only earning two draws. This pattern indicates a clear advantage for the home side in recent years.
A significant goal differential defines these clashes. The Orange side has netted nine goals across the five most recent games, including a dominant 3-0 home victory. In sharp contrast, the Black Shirts have only found the net four times, being held scoreless on two separate occasions. This points to a consistent offensive advantage for the home squad and defensive frailties for the visitors.
Matches at the home stadium of the Elephants have been particularly one-sided. The Warsaw-based club has not won a single competitive fixture there in this recent cycle. Their best results, the draws, were secured with difficulty. The pattern suggests the visitors' strategy often shifts to damage control when playing away against this specific opponent.
For predictive purposes, focus on the home team's consistent ability to secure wins, particularly on their own turf. A low-scoring outcome for the visiting side is a recurring theme. A forecast favoring a home win, potentially with the away team failing to score, aligns with the established historical data.
Team Performance Metrics in the Last Five Matches
Expect goals from the home side in the second half. The Elephants have scored seven of their last ten goals after the break, showing a pattern of increasing offensive pressure. The visitors, conversely, have conceded six of their last nine goals within the same period, indicating potential defensive fatigue.
The hosts' attacking efficiency is superior. They average 6.1 shots on target per game with a 15% conversion rate. The capital city club struggles to create clear chances, managing only 3.4 shots on target per fixture and converting at a rate below 9%. https://playjangocasino666.de in final-third execution is a significant performance indicator.
Disciplinary records suggest a tactical difference. The Black Shirts play an aggressive game, collecting 15 yellow cards and one red card across their five most recent contests. The team from the Lesser Poland Voivodeship has a much cleaner sheet with only seven cautions, reflecting a more composed defensive structure.
An analysis of ball possession reveals the hosts' preference for controlling the game's tempo. They have maintained an average possession of 59% in recent matches. The Warsaw side averages 43% possession, often relying on counter-attacks rather than sustained build-up play.
Identifying Key Player Contributions: Top Scorers and Assist Providers
Focus on Adam Radwański's performance for the hosts; he directly influenced the scoreline with one goal and a primary assist. His goal came from a calculated long-range shot that found the bottom corner. Striker Kacper Karasek also added his name to the scoresheet, converting a clear-cut chance from inside the six-yard box late in the match.
The key creative outlet for the Elephants was Maciej Ambrosiewicz. He supplied the final pass for Karasek's goal with a low, driven cross that bypassed two defenders. This midfield combination proved to be the most effective offensive pairing for the home side, consistently creating pressure.
For the Black Shirts, the main offensive output originated from forward Szymon Kobusiński. He scored the visitors' only goal, demonstrating composure by taking the ball around the keeper after a defensive miscommunication. His movement off the ball created the initial opportunity.
The assist for the capital city team's goal was credited to Mateusz Michalski. His quick thinking and precise forward pass released Kobusiński into space. The visitors from Warsaw showed that their most dangerous attacks were generated through rapid transitions from defense to offense.
The offensive patterns displayed two distinct methods. The Nieciecza-based club built attacks through sustained midfield possession, while the squad from Warsaw relied on exploiting counter-attacking moments and individual striker skill.